AI x Development: mindsets shaping the moment

A brief illustration of the many mindsets shaping AI in international development.
December 2025

Whether we think AI is on balance good or bad, its use is already shaping how development cooperation gets done and will shape development trajectories themselves.

This is the first in a series of reflective articles from the Lab as we understand, analyse and experiment with AI in international development.

Geordie Fung
Geordie Fung
Director of Analysis

One | The question isn’t whether AI will impact development, it’s how and on whose terms

Every professional community in the world is now wrestling with the promises and perils of AI, and the international development community is no exception.

The sheer volume of AI debate, speculation, and hype makes me want to close my laptop and spend some quality time with my old Tamagotchi.

Last year, I suggested to a senior government official that a ten-year program design might want to consider AI. The idea was met with laughter. Not mean-spirited laughter, but the kind of laughter reserved for proposals that sound both futuristic and involve changing the status quo. It summed up how the Australian development community tends to meet change: with scepticism, disbelief, and a quick calculation about whether it’s worth taking notice of.

Since then, the speed of change has been unprecedented. ChatGPT is one of the fastest-adopted technologies in history, reaching an estimated 100 million active users within two months of launch. According to OpenAI’s 2025 global usage study, around 10% of the world’s adults now use ChatGPT every week. And of course, the suite of expanding AI tools extends well beyond chatbots and assistants to agents, language models, multimodal systems and a range of other things I don’t at all understand.

For development practice, AI’s speed of change and the disruption it brings collides with a culture built for deliberation, process, and consensus. The result is a moment that feels urgent and incoherent at the same time.

The key question is not whether AI will significantly impact development, but how and on whose terms. We already know from earlier waves of digital transformation that new technologies can widen social and economic divides as easily as they close them.  

AI x Development: mindsets shaping the moment

Two | AI’s many mindsets

The early adopters of AI are not necessarily the most vulnerable, nor the most strategic; they’re simply the least constrained.  But as they move quickly to make and shape the way the world uses AI, I worry that development practitioners, donors and supporters are being left behind.  

When I talk to international development colleagues around the MS Teams water cooler, I meet four broad mindsets. Each is valid. Each drives how individuals and organisations act in response to AI– as a threat, a tool or a distraction [comment: em-dashes are my own].  And ultimately, each mindset captures something true about who we are as a development community.

Here are four of the mindsets shaping the moment:

The optimists

The optimists emphasise the transformative potential of AI to improve development cooperation, from scaling service delivery to widening access to knowledge. They push for experimentation and pilot projects, chasing efficiency and effectiveness gains. This is the group of colleagues who are most likely to achieve an AI breakthrough for international development.  However, optimists often risk an over-reliance on technological fixes without fully grappling with the political economies they operate in. The classic development blind spot: engaging with tools more easily than with power.

The cautious adopters

The cautious adopters are open to both benefits and risks of AI. They’re curious about potential, often using AI for low-risk tasks like drafting, summarising, or cleaning data. Adoption grows incrementally as clearer guidance emerges. This instinct for gradualism helps them feel safe, but also keeps them slow. Many confine AI use to personal contexts because of compliance rules or internal bans. In a process-heavy culture, these colleagues are the realists. And they know the system moves only as quickly as donor coordination meetings produce results.

The risk managers

The risk managers see AI as potentially useful but requiring strong guardrails before wide adoption. Their focus is on governance frameworks, cyber protection, and oversight of partner activity. They embody one of international development’s noblest instincts: protecting trust. But their collective fear of reputational damage can make risk management an end in itself. With short project cycles and tight accountability, they sometimes forget that avoiding failure isn’t the same as achieving impact. Still, these colleagues are the reason organisations avoid repeating old mistakes on a larger, faster scale.

The sceptics

The AI sceptics and abstainers either value inclusion and community-based approaches, questioning whether AI aligns with these principles at all, or are simply sceptical of technology writ large. They highlight bias, environmental cost, and the risk of deepening inequality or external control. They’re the conscience of our field. Without them, we’d rush headlong into every shiny tool. Yet scepticism can harden into distance. If the most thoughtful voices disengage, the space fills with those least inclined to ask ethical questions.

These mindsets don’t reflect technical literacy (something I wouldn’t claim having much of myself) but a particular worldview and institutional culture.

Each represents a different instinct about change: whether to accelerate it, resist it, manage it, or channel it.

Together they form the ecosystem of development thinking, reflecting our community’s strengths in ethics, collaboration, learning and a desire to improve the world – as well as our pitfalls in short-termism, process overload, missing the politics, slow adaptation and risk aversion.

The sheer volume of AI debate, speculation, and hype makes me want to close my laptop and spend some quality time with my old Tamagotchi.

Three | So, how should we feel about AI and development?

The truth is that all these perspectives on AI are right– and a bit wrong. The optimists remind us that progress needs imagination. The cautious adopters show that trust is built through evidence. The risk managers protect the credibility on which development depends. The sceptics keep us honest about power and inclusion. In that sense, the ‘AI debate’ in development is as much about pre-existing ideology as about technology itself. The challenge from my perspective is not to pick a camp, but to borrow the best instincts from each. And that means not disengaging.

Strangely, if you care about human prosperity, you should care about artificial intelligence.

So, this series is not seeking to influence development practitioners to adopt AI tools. I’m not that kind of #influencer. Instead, it’s about helping the development system - communities, governments, multilaterals, civil society, contractors and more - to think more clearly about AI’s implications. Whether we think AI is on balance good or bad, its use is already shaping how development cooperation gets done and will shape development trajectories themselves.

In coming pieces, I’ll look at how AI is already reshaping development practice - changing the pace of our work, how we learn and adapt, and even how power flows through the global system.

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AI x Development: mindsets shaping the momentAI x Development: mindsets shaping the moment

AI x Development: mindsets shaping the moment

AI x Development: mindsets shaping the moment